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蝉鸣一夏,却蛰伏了数个四季。
Ge Long Hui·2025-09-01 03:28

Group 1: US Market Overview - The Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices reached new closing highs, with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ's P/E ratio (TTM around 30x) indicating potential overextension of future earnings expectations [1] - The US deficit rate is at 6.4%, suggesting a reliance on monetary creation to sustain current prosperity, while the Chinese deficit is being managed at 4% [1] - US companies are engaging in record stock buybacks, with Apple at $100 billion, NVIDIA at $60 billion, and others like Alphabet, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs exceeding $40 billion each, raising concerns about future competitiveness [1] Group 2: Chinese Market Performance - A-share market saw significant activity, with two instances of daily trading volume exceeding 3 trillion yuan last week, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards stock investments [2] - The focus has shifted to how much household savings will move into the stock market, with estimates suggesting around 12 trillion yuan could be available for investment [2] - The performance of major stocks like Kweichow Moutai and Cambricon is under scrutiny, with historical data showing that stocks surpassing Moutai often face significant declines thereafter [2] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Ctrip reported better-than-expected earnings, leading to a stock price jump of over 14%, while Meituan's net profit plummeted by over 96%, resulting in a significant drop in its stock price [1] - Alibaba's earnings also exceeded expectations, with a stock price increase of 12.9%, contrasting with PDD, which saw its stock decline despite positive earnings [1]