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指数高开高走!黄金股指数逆袭,机构为何坚定看多布局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-01 03:55

Market Overview - US and European stock markets experienced a brief rise under the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, followed by a noticeable stagnation, indicating a range-bound adjustment rather than a head formation [1] - The A-share market remains index-driven, with the number of rising stocks and trading volume failing to keep pace with the upward momentum [1] - Foreign capital continues to have room for increased allocation in the Chinese market, supported by easier overseas liquidity and improving domestic fundamentals [1] Gold Market Insights - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated rising downside risks in the US job market, suggesting a potential policy shift that could lead to interest rate cuts as early as September [1] - Historical analysis shows that during the last four consecutive rate-cut cycles, gold prices increased by an average of 28%, with a projected 8% rise during the upcoming rate-cut cycle from September to December 2024 [1] - Major financial institutions are bullish on gold prices, with UBS raising its 2026 gold price target to $3,700 per ounce, while Bank of America forecasts a peak of $4,000 per ounce by mid-2026 [3] Sector Performance - The domestic computing power stocks surged, with Data Port hitting the daily limit and several other stocks like Xuanji Information and Huina Technology rising over 5% [4] - Alibaba's recent financial report showed significant growth in capital expenditure and cloud business, with AI-related product revenue achieving triple-digit growth for eight consecutive quarters, leading to a nearly 13% increase in its US stock price [4] - The innovative drug sector saw strong performance, with companies like Maiwei Bio and Baiji Shenzhou hitting historical highs following the announcement of new drug listings by the National Medical Insurance Administration [4] Index Movements - The Shanghai Composite Index opened high and maintained an upward trend, with a focus on whether it can stabilize above 3,880 points [6] - The ChiNext Index opened nearly 2% higher but experienced some pullback, indicating active capital participation and a strong market trend [6] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission expressed a positive outlook on the current market, emphasizing the need to consolidate the recovery momentum and accelerate capital market reforms [6]