特朗普“洗牌”美联储理事会，影响不只有降息那么简单？

Core Viewpoint - The potential dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook by President Trump signifies a significant shift in the traditionally independent institution, aiming to exert political influence over monetary policy [1][5][9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Federal Reserve's Independence - Trump's actions are perceived as a threat to the independence of the Federal Reserve, which has historically operated free from political pressure to ensure effective monetary policy [1][9][13]. - Legal scholars and financial experts warn that undermining the Fed's independence could lead to long-term economic damage and loss of credibility [1][9]. Impact on Monetary Policy - If Trump successfully reshapes the Federal Reserve Board, he could gain control over critical economic levers, including interest rates and bank regulations [3][4]. - The Federal Reserve Board has the authority to set the discount rate and reserve requirements, which are essential for managing the economy [3]. Political Implications - Trump's intention to influence the Fed is seen as an attempt to make it a "rubber stamp" for presidential policy, raising concerns about future political interference in monetary decisions [5][9]. - Critics argue that this could lead to economic instability similar to that experienced in countries with authoritarian regimes [5]. Current Composition and Future Outlook - Currently, two members of the Federal Reserve Board were appointed by Trump, with potential for more vacancies, which could further his agenda [9][10]. - However, the expectation that appointed members will automatically align with Trump's views is challenged by their demonstrated independence [10][11]. Broader Economic Consequences - Analysts suggest that if Trump's influence over the Fed increases, it could lead to a departure from established monetary practices, significantly impacting markets and economic stability [11][12].