Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight decline in revenue but a stable increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating resilience in performance despite challenges in certain segments [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Summary - The company achieved operating revenue of 25.697 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.18% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.795 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.36% - In Q2 2025, operating revenue was 12.575 billion yuan, down 3.22% year-on-year, while net profit was 1.716 billion yuan, up 0.48% year-on-year [1]. Hydropower Performance - Hydropower generation increased by 10.30% year-on-year to 47.782 billion kWh in H1 2025 - The hydropower output from the Yalong River was 43 billion kWh, up 12.68% year-on-year, attributed to the full reservoir of the Lihekou Hydropower Station last year - The average electricity price for the hydropower segment was 0.277 yuan/kWh, down 0.009 yuan/kWh year-on-year, while net profit per kWh was 0.116 yuan, up 0.001 yuan/kWh year-on-year [1][2]. Thermal Power Performance - Thermal power generation decreased by 21.10% year-on-year to 22.258 billion kWh in H1 2025, influenced by increased clean energy generation in certain regions - The average electricity price for the thermal power segment was approximately 0.434 yuan/kWh, down 0.008 yuan/kWh year-on-year, with net profit per kWh remaining stable at around 0.04 yuan [2]. New Energy Development - The company reported significant growth in photovoltaic generation, with an increase of 41.52% year-on-year - The company aims for clean energy to account for 72% of installed capacity during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a current clean energy installed capacity ratio of 71.84% as of June 30, 2025, and a new energy installed capacity ratio of 23.52% [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company anticipates good growth in performance driven by increased hydropower generation and ongoing development of integrated energy bases in the Yalong River area - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted to 6.869 billion, 7.226 billion, and 7.660 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 3%, 5%, and 6% respectively - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 16.7x, 15.9x, and 15.0x for the respective years, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].
国投电力(600886)25年中报点评:营收略降 业绩韧性十足