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重庆百货(600729):百年品牌焕新 多措并举见效

Group 1: Department Store Business - The company is accelerating the transformation of existing stores by implementing an "Outlet + Shopping Center" model to address competitive pressures from offline retail and diverse shopping channels [1] - A tailored strategy of "one store, one policy" is being adopted to explore differentiated department store models based on local conditions [1] Group 2: Supermarket Business - The company is returning to the essence of commerce by enhancing product and service capabilities, with three types of supermarket formats: exquisite lifestyle stores, quality supermarkets, and fresh discount community supermarkets [2] - Each supermarket format targets different market segments, focusing on high quality-to-price ratios in core business districts, cost-effective community offerings, and thin-margin community models [2] Group 3: Appliance Business - The company is focusing on expanding into lower-tier markets and strengthening partnerships with leading brands, aiming for significant growth in overall sales through a retail franchise system [2] - The "Century Tong" retail franchise system is dedicated to lower-tier markets, integrating online and offline channels to create a new retail platform [2] Group 4: Automotive Trade - The company is optimizing its operational structure by consolidating offline stores, with new growth driven by the integration of new energy vehicles and used cars [2] - A shift from traditional fuel vehicle sales to new energy vehicle consignment sales is being promoted [2] Group 5: Convenience Store Business - The company is accelerating its entry into the convenience store market, positioning itself as "community convenience + instant service" to cater to various consumer needs [2] - The strategy includes leveraging a light-asset franchise model and utilizing the logistics network of supermarkets to enhance local advantages [2] Group 6: Investment Income from Consumer Finance - The company's investment income from consumer finance is projected to grow steadily, with expected revenues of 596 million, 662 million, and 711 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, reflecting year-on-year growth of 36%, 11%, and 7.4% respectively [3] - Investment income is anticipated to continue its stable growth trend from 2025 to 2027, reaching 782 million, 845 million, and 912 million yuan [3] Group 7: Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company's projected operating revenues for 2025-2027 are 16.385 billion, 17.073 billion, and 18.307 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -4.40%, +4.20%, and +7.23% [4] - Expected net profits for the same period are 1.445 billion, 1.568 billion, and 1.738 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of +9.92%, +8.47%, and +10.89% [4] - Considering the diversity and stability of the company's business, a target valuation of 12 times for 2025 is set, corresponding to a market value of 17.341 billion yuan and a target price of 39.37 yuan, with a "buy" rating [4]