股东博弈，岚图上市后能走多远？

Core Viewpoint - Dongfeng Group's stock performance has been declining due to the transformation of the automotive industry and intensified market competition, leading to a significant loss of its financing capability as its market value remains below net asset levels [2][3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - As of July 31, 2025, Dongfeng Group's closing price was HKD 4.74 per share, with a price-to-book ratio of only 0.24 times, indicating a long-term market value below net assets [2] - In contrast, the new energy vehicle sector is viewed positively by the capital market, with companies like BAIC Blue Valley having a price-to-book ratio of 9.28 times [2] Privatization Plan - Dongfeng Group plans to delist by distributing its shares in Lantu Automotive to shareholders and merging with Dongfeng Group [2][3] - Shareholders will receive 0.3552608 shares of Lantu Automotive per Dongfeng share, valued at approximately HKD 4.17 per share, along with a cash compensation of HKD 6.68 per share for the canceled H shares [3][6] Shareholder Concerns - Despite the privatization price of HKD 10.85 being approximately 82% higher than the market price on August 8, some minority shareholders believe this does not adequately reflect the value of the new energy business [6][7] - The theoretical total value of the privatization is about 45% lower than the company's book value per share of HKD 19.73, leading to dissatisfaction among shareholders [6] Market Competition and Future Outlook - Lantu Automotive's future as an independent entity post-listing is uncertain, particularly due to its historically narrow product range and lack of mainstream models [3][7] - Lantu's CEO claims strong market positioning in the MPV segment, with the Lantu Dreamer achieving significant sales, but other models like the Lantu FREE have underperformed [7][9] - The Lantu FREE, positioned in the high-end SUV market, has seen sales of only 10,158 units in the first half of 2025, significantly trailing competitors like the Li Auto L6 [10][11] Product Strategy - Lantu has launched four models, with the Lantu Dreamer accounting for 66% of total sales, while other models have not met expectations [9] - The competitive landscape for the Lantu FREE is challenging, with established players like Tesla and Li Auto dominating the market [11][12] - The MPV market is becoming increasingly competitive, with new entrants and a decline in market share for MPVs overall [12][13]