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桐昆股份(601233):上半年业绩符合预期 布局煤头领域增强竞争力

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 44.16 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.41%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.097 billion yuan, an increase of 2.93% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 24.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.73%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 27.4% [1] - The company maintained a healthy fundamental performance, with polyester filament prices following cost trends, and a significant increase in sales volume for polyester filament [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - For the first half of 2025, polyester filament revenue was 37.8 billion yuan, down 9.6% year-on-year, with sales volume of 5.95 million tons, up 1.3% [1] - The average selling price of polyester filament was 6,352 yuan/ton, a decrease of 10.8% year-on-year [1] - PTA revenue was 3.52 billion yuan, down 7.5% year-on-year, with sales volume of 830,000 tons, up 14.3% [1] Cost and Margin Insights - The average procurement prices for key raw materials PX and PTA decreased by 18.9% and 18.1% year-on-year, respectively, while MEG prices increased by 0.71% [1] - The company's overall gross margin was 6.76%, an increase of 0.57 percentage points year-on-year [1] Market Position and Strategic Developments - The company is the largest polyester filament producer globally and has successfully established a presence in the coal sector, acquiring high-quality coal resources in Turpan with reserves of 500 million tons [3] - The company is working on a coal gas project expected to be operational by late 2026 to early 2027, aiming to integrate the entire supply chain from oil, coal, and gas [3] - The company plans to focus on aromatic route cooperation opportunities to strengthen its core competitiveness in PTA and ethylene glycol [3] Future Outlook - The company maintains an "overweight" investment rating, with projected net profits of 1.96 billion, 2.53 billion, and 3.09 billion yuan for 2025-2027, and corresponding EPS of 0.81, 1.05, and 1.29 yuan [3]