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长江电力(600900):业绩稳步增长 延续高分红+股东增持彰显发展信心

Core Insights - The company reported a steady growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, with operating income reaching 36.698 billion yuan, up 5.34% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 13.056 billion yuan, up 14.86% year-on-year [1][2] Revenue and Profit Growth - The company achieved operating income of 36.698 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.34% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 13.056 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 14.86% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company recorded operating income of 19.682 billion yuan, up 2.61% year-on-year, and net profit of 7.876 billion yuan, up 6.43% year-on-year [1] Generation Capacity and Profitability - The total water inflow for the Wudongde Reservoir was approximately 39.964 billion cubic meters, an increase of 9.01% year-on-year, while the inflow for the Three Gorges Reservoir was about 135.532 billion cubic meters, a decrease of 8.39% year-on-year [2] - The company generated 1266.56 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 5.01% [2] - The average electricity revenue was 0.290 yuan per kilowatt-hour, up 0.001 yuan year-on-year, and the net profit per kilowatt-hour attributable to shareholders was 0.103 yuan, up 0.009 yuan year-on-year [2] Profitability Improvement and Strategic Development - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 56.12%, an increase of 3.75 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 36.19%, up 2.92 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company is actively pursuing the development of new energy and pumped storage projects, with external equity investments totaling 419 million yuan, resulting in investment income of approximately 2.589 billion yuan, down 10.5% year-on-year [3] - The company maintains a commitment to a 70% dividend payout ratio during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, highlighting its long-term investment value [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 34.638 billion, 35.623 billion, and 36.300 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 7%, 3%, and 2% respectively [3] - The current price-to-earnings ratios for these years are projected to be 19.8x, 19.3x, and 18.9x, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]