Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has opened the door for potential interest rate cuts, suggesting that changes in risk balance may warrant adjustments in monetary policy [1] - The upcoming economic data, particularly the August non-farm payroll and Consumer Price Index (CPI), are critical for the Fed's decision-making process regarding interest rates [2] - Despite Powell's statements, the market remains cautious, and any interest rate cuts may not lead to a significantly dovish stance from the Fed, as concerns about inflation persist [1][2] Group 2 - The August non-farm payroll data is expected to be a key driver for the Fed's decision on rate cuts, with historical trends indicating low job growth during this month [2] - The CPI has shown a rebound, rising from 2.3% in April to 2.7% in July, and further increases could lead the Fed to adopt a more conservative approach in its September meeting [2] - Market reactions to economic data are anticipated to influence the performance of the US dollar, US Treasury yields, and stock markets, with potential implications for gold and cryptocurrency investments [3]
VT Markets独家分析：鲍威尔松口降息 市场将如何波动？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-01 06:40