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上涨100!8月价格坚挺,9月能否再攀高点?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-01 08:20

Core Viewpoint - The steel market is experiencing stable prices with a slight upward trend in certain products, driven by rising raw material costs and positive market sentiment towards future demand [1][3][4][6]. Price Trends - As of Friday, the price for 201J2/2B 1.0 macro steel coil is reported at 7300 CNY/ton, and 201J1/2B 1.0 at 8000 CNY/ton, both showing an increase of 100 CNY/ton compared to the end of July [1]. - The price for 201J1 five-inch hot-rolled steel has risen to 7650 CNY/ton, up 150 CNY/ton from the end of July [1]. Raw Material Costs - Continuous increases in raw material prices are providing cost support, with copper prices rising to 79350 CNY/ton, an increase of 500 CNY/ton from the previous week [3]. - The cost of 201J2 private cold-rolled steel has increased by 89 CNY/ton compared to the previous week, indicating stronger cost support [3]. Inventory Levels - In the Wuxi market, the inventory of 200 series steel has decreased by 0.28 million tons to 62,000 tons, with cold-rolled inventory decreasing by 0.41 million tons and hot-rolled inventory increasing by 0.13 million tons [4]. Market Sentiment and Demand - The initial week saw a significant increase in futures prices, leading to a corresponding rise in spot market prices, with traders raising prices by 50-100 CNY/ton [6]. - As the week progressed, market sentiment shifted, leading to price reductions of 30-50 CNY/ton as traders sought to increase sales volume, resulting in a decrease in overall transaction volume [6]. - The market remains optimistic about the upcoming "Golden September and Silver October" traditional peak season, with expectations for increased downstream demand [6]. Future Outlook - The steel market is expected to maintain stable prices in the short term, with 201J2/J5 cold-rolled steel projected to fluctuate between 7000-7500 CNY/ton [6].