Ultima Markets风险偏好席卷华尔街：9 月市场动能不减，机构分歧中寻机遇

Core Viewpoint - Wall Street's risk appetite remains strong in September despite recent market fluctuations, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, resilient consumer spending, and ongoing momentum in artificial intelligence [2][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The S&P 500 index has recorded gains for four consecutive months, indicating a robust summer market despite a slight dip in recent trading [2]. - A cross-asset momentum indicator maintained by Societe Generale has approached bullish thresholds multiple times since April, reflecting strong market sentiment [2]. - Major asset classes are experiencing low implied volatility, with current levels at a near four-year low, contrasting sharply with previous market turbulence [3]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Institutional investors increased stock purchases in August, particularly hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, as market volatility decreased [5]. - Investors are showing confidence in the market, believing that tariff impacts are less severe than initially feared, bolstered by solid economic fundamentals [3][4]. - Despite concerns about market concentration and potential risks from rising interest rates, many investors remain committed to their positions, viewing the market's resilience as a calculated response rather than blind optimism [6][7]. Group 3: Sector Rotation and Strategy - Some investors are cautiously rotating assets into less prominent sectors, such as small-cap stocks, anticipating benefits from the Fed's potential easing policies [7]. - There is a focus on obtaining stable returns while remaining flexible in response to changing market conditions, particularly in light of unpredictable long-term interest rate trends [7].