金价突然大涨

Core Viewpoint - International spot gold prices have surged, reaching a near four-month high, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical tensions, particularly between Trump and Fed officials, which have shifted safe-haven investments from the dollar to gold [1][3][4]. Group 1: Gold Price Movement - On September 1, international spot gold opened high, touching $3,450 per ounce, with a weekly increase of over $80 per ounce [1]. - The price recorded four consecutive daily gains, making it a focal point for global investors [1]. - The highest price reached was $3,452.640, while the lowest was $3,441.825 during the recent trading period [2]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Influence - Recent speeches from the Federal Reserve and U.S. economic data have reinforced expectations for a rate cut in September, supporting the rise in gold prices [2]. - According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates in September is 12.6%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 87.4% [3]. Group 3: Market Sentiment - Wall Street analysts exhibit unprecedented optimism regarding gold prices, with 86% of participants in a recent survey expecting prices to continue rising [4]. - Rich Checkan, President of Asset Strategies International, believes that the market's expectation of a rate cut will further drive gold prices up, especially after breaking the $3,400 mark [4]. - Upcoming U.S. employment data will be crucial for determining whether gold can break historical highs, with key reports scheduled throughout the week [4].