7张图解：2025年迄今为止的全球转折点

Group 1: Geopolitical and Economic Landscape - The world is experiencing significant geopolitical instability, with over 110 armed conflicts currently ongoing, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and the recent Israel-Gaza conflict, leading to severe humanitarian crises [7] - Economic nationalism is on the rise, with the U.S. implementing the most comprehensive tariff regime since the 1930s, resulting in an average effective tariff rate of 18.2% by July 2025, the highest since 1934 [19] - The global economic growth rate is projected to slow to 2.3% in 2025 due to increased trade fragmentation and policy uncertainties [15][16] Group 2: Impact of Artificial Intelligence - AI is transforming various sectors, with the potential to reduce content production costs by 60% and increase conversion rates by up to 20% in the consumer industry [8] - By 2038, responsible and human-centered AI is expected to unlock $1.2 trillion in value for the consumer sector [8] - AI is projected to create 170 million new jobs by 2030 while automating 92 million jobs, leading to a net increase in employment opportunities [12] Group 3: Labor Market Dynamics - The labor market is undergoing significant changes, with nearly half of employers driven by climate change and the green economy in their hiring strategies, leading to increased demand for sustainable and tech-related positions [11] - There is a notable skills gap, with 86% of employers anticipating that AI and data analytics will reshape their industries [12] - The technology sector has seen thousands of job cuts attributed to AI, but many layoffs are also due to companies reallocating resources for AI investments [14] Group 4: Energy Transition - The global energy transition is accelerating, with clean energy investments reaching $2 trillion, primarily in developed economies and China [20] - Renewable energy sources are becoming more cost-effective, with solar power costs 41% lower than fossil fuels and wind power 53% lower [23] - The energy transition index has shown a 1.1% increase in overall scores, reflecting a recovery in energy transition progress [20] Group 5: Gender Equality Challenges - The global gender gap has narrowed to 68.8%, but achieving full equality is projected to take another 123 years [24] - Women are disproportionately affected by job losses in roles impacted by AI, comprising 57% of those in at-risk positions, while holding only 46% of jobs enhanced by AI [24][27] - There is a pressing need for policies to address long-standing barriers to women's participation in high-level positions and emerging fields [27] Group 6: Aging Population and Longevity Economy - By 2080, the population aged 65 and older is expected to surpass those under 18, necessitating modernization of retirement and pension systems [28][31] - Countries face challenges related to aging populations, with many experiencing stagnant or declining birth rates, impacting healthcare and labor markets [31] - The focus should be on transforming longer lifespans into productive and financially secure lives rather than merely increasing welfare burdens [28]