Group 1 - The core sentiment in the options market for Netflix (NFLX.US) indicates a cautious outlook, with total derivatives trading volume reaching 164,872 contracts, which is 44.8% higher than the average daily volume over the past month [1] - The put/call ratio stands at approximately 0.875, suggesting a slight bullish sentiment, but net trading sentiment leans towards bearish with nearly $4.3 million involved [1] - Despite a recent decline of nearly 3% since August 18 and a 10% drop over the past six months, Netflix's stock has maintained a 79% increase over the past 52 weeks, indicating potential for a rebound [1] Group 2 - Quantitative models suggest that the median price range for Netflix over the next 10 weeks is between $1,256.73 and $1,318.80, with potential downside adjustments to $1,186.66 to $1,290.10 due to market reversal signals [2] - Two bullish call spread strategies are highlighted: one with a strike price of $1,242.50/$1,250 that could yield a maximum return of 150% if the stock rises by 3.46% in three weeks, and another with a strike price of $1,280/$1,290 that has a maximum return close to 160% but requires a higher initial cost [4] - The current options activity, while not a strong bullish signal, combined with the stock's recent pullback and long-term growth potential, may provide a cautious entry point for investors [4]
表面看涨实则看空?奈飞(NFLX.US)期权市场释放430万美元谨慎信号