东航物流(601156)：克服行业扰动 Q2净利同比增长

Core Viewpoint - Eastern Airlines Logistics reported a slight decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but managed to achieve a small increase in net profit, indicating resilience in its operations despite external challenges [1][2]. Revenue Analysis - The company achieved a total revenue of 11.3 billion yuan in H1 2025, a decrease of 0.3% year-on-year [1]. - Revenue from air express services was 4.7 billion yuan, an increase of 8.5% year-on-year [2]. - Ground integrated services generated 1.3 billion yuan, up 5.4% year-on-year [2]. - Comprehensive logistics solutions saw revenue drop to 5.3 billion yuan, a decline of 8.3% year-on-year, primarily due to a 27% decrease in cross-border e-commerce logistics revenue [2]. Profitability Analysis - The company's gross profit margin remained stable at 18.7% in H1 2025 [3]. - The net profit margin slightly increased by 0.1 percentage points to 11.4% [3]. - The company’s expense ratio decreased to 3.4%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to reduced financial expenses [3]. Operational Adjustments - The company has optimized its route structure in response to changing U.S. tariff policies, enhancing its resilience against external disruptions [4]. - The total cargo turnover for H1 2025 was 4.134 billion ton-kilometers, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.62% [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards to 2.6 billion, 3.0 billion, and 3.3 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [5].