Three Squirrels(SZ:300783) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-02 00:50Core Viewpoint - The company reported mixed financial results for the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but significant declines in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue increases in certain segments [1][2]. Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.478 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.94%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 138 million yuan, down 52.22% year-on-year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.754 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 22.77%, but net profit was a loss of 101 million yuan, with losses widening compared to the previous year [1]. Revenue Breakdown - Online revenue in H1 2025 was 4.295 billion yuan, up 5% year-on-year, with Douyin, JD, and Tmall contributing 1.478 billion, 808 million, and 882 million yuan respectively, showing growth of 20.8%, 1.9%, and a decline of 18.6% [2]. - Offline distribution revenue reached 938 million yuan, a significant increase of 40.2% year-on-year, while store revenue was 187 million yuan, down 18.7% [2]. Product Performance - In H1 2025, revenue from nuts, baked goods, and comprehensive categories was 2.731 billion, 682 million, and 1.398 billion yuan respectively, with comprehensive category revenue growing by 49.7% year-on-year [2]. Cost and Profitability - The company's gross margin for H1 2025 was 25.08%, a decrease of 0.77 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to rising raw material costs for nuts [2]. - In Q2 2025, the gross margin was 21.57%, down 0.33 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting pressure on profitability from increased costs [2]. Expense Analysis - In Q2 2025, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs were 24.16%, 5.16%, 0.33%, and 0.17% respectively, with sales expenses rising due to increased market investments [3]. - The increase in management expenses was attributed to higher property depreciation and amortization costs [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is accelerating its full-category layout and aims for long-term growth through a "high-end cost-performance" strategy, focusing on new snack launches and optimizing supply chain efficiency [3]. - The company is also exploring self-branded "lifestyle stores" to enhance customer reach and service quality [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company expects revenues of 12.534 billion, 14.779 billion, and 16.739 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 18%, 18%, and 13% respectively [4]. - Projected net profits for the same period are 230 million, 567 million, and 720 million yuan, with a significant recovery expected in 2026 [4].