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美联储9月降息概率较大,重视金银板块机会| 券商晨会
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-02 01:04

Group 1 - Huatai Securities emphasizes that the Federal Reserve is likely to lower interest rates in September, which may drive down real interest rates and lead to increased capital inflows into ETFs, benefiting gold [1] - The long-term outlook for gold remains positive unless the U.S. economy returns to a high-growth, low-inflation scenario and effectively reduces the deficit, suggesting that central bank buyers may continue their gold purchasing strategy [1] - The current valuation and chip structure of typical gold companies are favorable, and they are expected to benefit significantly from rising gold prices and increased production in the future [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities reports a significant increase in satellite launch frequency, with expectations that the second half of 2025 may mark an industry turning point [2] - The strategic importance of the satellite communication industry is highlighted, with clear policy direction and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's recent guidance to promote the opening of satellite communication services [2] - The satellite industry is transitioning from thematic investment to more sustainable industrial investment, with a recommendation to focus on satellite operators with potential for obtaining business licenses, as well as companies involved in manufacturing, launching, and ground equipment [2] Group 3 - Zhongtai Securities maintains a positive outlook on the stability and sustainability of bank stocks, noting a shift in their operating model and investment logic from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical" [3] - During periods of economic stagnation, bank stocks are attractive due to their high dividend yields, suggesting continued interest in this sector [3] - Two main investment lines for bank stocks are identified: regional banks with strong certainty and advantages in areas such as Jiangsu, Shanghai, Chengdu-Chongqing, Shandong, and Fujian, and those with high dividend stability [3]