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中金:上调超盈国际控股(02111)至跑赢行业评级 升目标价至4.45港元

Core Viewpoint - CICC has upgraded Super盈 International Holdings (02111) to an "Outperform" rating and raised the target price by 65% to HKD 4.45, reflecting a shift in valuation to 2026 due to the one-time impact of U.S. tariff policies in 2025 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For 1H25, the company reported revenue of HKD 2.33 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 260 million, down 6.1% year-on-year, which was below CICC's expectations due to cautious ordering from clients amid U.S. tariff uncertainties [2] - The gross margin for 1H25 decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 26.6%, primarily due to a decline in capacity utilization in 2Q25, with fabric, webbing, and lace gross margins changing by +0.2, -2.0, and -10.7 percentage points respectively [4] - The net profit margin for 1H25 was 11.2%, down 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [4] Group 2: Product Performance - Revenue from fabrics, webbing, and lace for 1H25 was HKD 1.81 billion, HKD 501 million, and HKD 22 million respectively, with year-on-year changes of -4.4%, +6.9%, and -20.6% [3] - The decline in sportswear and apparel fabric revenue was mainly due to cautious ordering from U.S. apparel brand clients in 2Q25, with sportswear fabric revenue down 5.5% to HKD 1.23 billion [3] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - Inventory turnover days increased from 112 days at the end of 2024 to 131 days at the end of 1H25, influenced by U.S. tariff policies affecting orders [5] - The net debt decreased by 37.1% to HKD 300 million, with the net debt-to-equity ratio dropping from 13.5% to 8.2% [5] Group 4: Future Outlook - Approximately 50% of the company's revenue comes from the U.S., and CICC expects that as U.S. tariff policies become clearer, client orders may gradually recover in the second half of the year, potentially boosting capacity utilization and profitability [5]