许安鸿：黄金触及历史高点即将上破，原油震荡回升先看反弹

Group 1 - The US dollar index fell by 0.17% to 97.68 due to increased bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts and concerns over its independence [1] - Spot gold rose for the fifth consecutive trading day, reaching a high of nearly $3490, closing up 0.82% at $3476.39 per ounce [1] - Silver prices surged 2.36%, breaking the $40 per ounce mark for the first time since September 2011, closing at $40.68 [1] Group 2 - The market is closely monitoring upcoming US labor data, including JOLTS job openings, ADP non-farm employment, and initial jobless claims, which may influence expectations for non-farm payrolls [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's dovish signals at the Jackson Hole meeting have raised the probability of a rate cut in September to over 90% [1] - The geopolitical situation, particularly regarding Russia's energy supply, is impacting oil prices, with WTI crude oil closing up 2.24% at $65.08 per barrel [3][5] Group 3 - Gold prices have shown a strong upward trend, with a cumulative increase of over 5% in August, marking the best monthly performance since April [3] - Oil prices are experiencing volatility, with a focus on the resistance level at $66.50 after touching $65 [5] - The balance between long-term and short-term trading strategies is crucial for sustained success in the market [6]