泽连斯基闯大祸，乌克兰后路被堵死，普京收获意外胜利

Core Viewpoint - Ukraine's recent attack on the "Friendship" oil pipeline in Russia has severely hindered its chances of joining the European Union, with Hungary explicitly blocking any negotiations for membership [1][3][5]. Group 1: Hungary's Position - Hungary's Foreign Minister, Peter Szijjarto, has stated that Hungary will not agree to initiate the first round of negotiations regarding Ukraine's EU membership, effectively stalling the process [3]. - As long as Hungary maintains its stance, Ukraine's prospects for EU membership are virtually non-existent, drawing parallels to Turkey's prolonged wait for EU accession [3]. Group 2: Impact of Ukraine's Actions - The attack on the "Friendship" pipeline is viewed as a strategic misstep for Ukraine, as it has minimal impact on Russia but exacerbates existing tensions within the EU, particularly concerning energy security [5][6]. - The EU's position leans towards supporting Ukraine, but it must also consider the energy concerns of Eastern European members like Hungary and Slovakia [5]. - Ukraine's aggressive actions have alienated key EU neighbors, potentially isolating it in its geopolitical strategy and diminishing its leverage against Russia [6]. Group 3: Broader Geopolitical Implications - The situation presents an unexpected victory for Russia, as Ukraine's actions have inadvertently obstructed its own path to EU integration, which could leave it vulnerable in future negotiations with Russia [6]. - Ukraine's failure to secure EU membership could lead to a more precarious position in upcoming ceasefire talks, as it must also address disputes with neighboring countries like Hungary [6].