Founder Securities(SH:601901) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-02 04:28Core Viewpoint - The company's profitability is expected to continue to outperform peers due to improvements in retail and proprietary businesses, supported by governance enhancements and operational efficiency driven by Ping An [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - The company maintains a "Buy" rating and raises the target price to 10.55 CNY per share, corresponding to a 1.7x P/B for 2025 [2]. - For the first half of 2025, the company forecasts revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders at 5.66 billion CNY and 2.38 billion CNY, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 52.1% and 76.4% [2]. - The weighted average ROE increased by 1.91 percentage points to 4.84% year-on-year [2]. - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 3.65 billion CNY, 3.92 billion CNY, and 4.18 billion CNY, up from previous estimates of 2.56 billion CNY, 2.66 billion CNY, and 2.76 billion CNY [2]. Business Segments - Revenue growth contributions from various business segments include brokerage (+46%), investment banking (+26%), asset management (+5%), proprietary trading (+66%), and net interest income (+35%) [2]. - Retail and proprietary businesses are key drivers of the company's high profit growth, contributing 48% and 41% to adjusted revenue growth, respectively [2]. - The proprietary trading income saw significant growth due to improved investment returns, with an annualized investment return rate of 3.5%, up by 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a large to mid-sized brokerage firm focused on wealth management, benefiting from operational efficiency improvements under Ping An's support [3]. - Future performance is expected to exceed peer growth due to the resolution of historical issues such as the sale of shares in Credit Suisse Securities (China) and enhanced management capabilities [3]. - The company is also addressing competition issues with Ping An Securities, which need to be resolved within five years [3]. Catalysts - Key catalysts for the company include the release of profits and progress in resolving competition issues with Ping An Securities [4].