pingmei coal(SH:601666) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-09-02 04:28Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for H1 2025, with expectations of a potential recovery in the second half of the year due to price rebounds and inventory adjustments [1][2]. Financial Performance - H1 2025 revenue was 10.12 billion yuan, down 37.95% year-on-year, with a net profit of 258 million yuan, down 81.53% year-on-year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 4.72 billion yuan, down 41.31% year-on-year and 12.60% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 106 million yuan, down 83.82% year-on-year and 30.09% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The company experienced a decline in coal sales volume, with a year-on-year drop of 17.6% and a quarter-on-quarter drop of 14.2% in Q2 2025 [1][2]. Production and Sales - In H1 2025, the company produced 14.53 million tons of raw coal, an increase of 2.3% year-on-year, but sold 11.74 million tons of commodity coal, a decrease of 13.0% year-on-year [2]. - Q2 2025 raw coal production was 7.03 million tons, down 7.2% year-on-year and 6.1% quarter-on-quarter, while commodity coal sales were 5.42 million tons, down 17.6% year-on-year and 14.2% quarter-on-quarter [2]. Inventory and Market Outlook - The company's inventory levels increased significantly, with values of 553 million yuan, 935 million yuan, and 1.239 billion yuan for FY24, Q1 25, and Q2 25 respectively [2]. - The company anticipates that the recent rebound in coking coal prices will help normalize inventory levels and boost sales in H2 2025, leading to improved performance [2]. Strategic Developments - The company has made progress in expanding its business, particularly in Xinjiang, with the newly integrated Wusu Sike Tree Coal Mine becoming a new profit growth point [3]. - The company’s subsidiary, Rufen Carbon Material, achieved sales of 483,200 tons of coke and revenue of 959 million yuan in the first half of the year, indicating successful strategic expansion into downstream industries [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 846 million yuan, 1.279 billion yuan, and 1.911 billion yuan respectively [4]. - The target price has been raised to 10.00 yuan, reflecting an increase in the expected average price of coking coal [4].