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伯特利(603596):2Q25业绩短期承压 一体式底盘新产品蓄势待发

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, total operating revenue increased by 30.0% year-on-year to 5.16 billion yuan, accounting for 39% of the original full-year forecast [1] - Gross margin decreased by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year to 18.6%, while net profit attributable to the parent company rose by 14.2% year-on-year to 520 million yuan, representing 34% of the original full-year forecast [1] - In 2Q25, revenue was 2.53 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.2% [1] Group 2: Product Performance - In 1H25, sales of intelligent electronic control products, disc brakes, lightweight brakes, and mechanical steering products grew by 43.1%, 28.7%, 7.4%, and 6.9% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The number of new project approvals increased by 44% year-on-year to 282, with intelligent electronic control products accounting for 63% of new mass production projects [2] - The decline in sales growth of lightweight brake products was attributed to lower-than-expected sales from domestic core customers, but revenue is expected to remain stable as production capacity ramps up in Mexico [2] Group 3: Global Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - The company’s Mexican subsidiary achieved stable profitability in 1H25, with a net profit of approximately 18.27 million yuan, and overseas revenue is expected to continue growing as production capacity increases [3] - The company is the first in China to release and mass-produce the ONE-BOX integrated line control braking system, actively promoting the industrialization of new generation line control braking products [3] - A 200 million yuan industrial fund has been established to invest in emerging fields such as humanoid robots and low-altitude economy, extending the company's main business advantages into the robotics sector [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating, despite a 10% reduction in net profit forecasts for 2025, 6% for 2026, and 1% for 2027, due to intensified competition in downstream industries [3]