Core Viewpoint - CICC reports that Tiangong International (00826) is expected to ramp up alloy material production by 2026, with a projected net profit of 538 million yuan for 2026, and the current stock price corresponds to 17.0x/11.4x P/E for 2025/2026. The valuation has been switched to 2026 due to limited contribution from alloy materials in 2025, maintaining an outperform rating with a target price increase of 20% to HKD 3.01, implying a 20.8% upside potential for 2026 at 13.8x P/E [1] Group 1 - 1H25 performance met expectations with revenue of 2.343 billion yuan and net profit of 204 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [2] - Product sales showed slight decline: high-speed steel, tool steel, cutting tools, and titanium alloy sales were 7,000 tons, 68,000 tons, 95 million pieces, and 5,000 tons respectively [2] - Main product profitability showed divergence: high-speed steel and tool steel benefited from domestic industry recovery and rising raw material prices, with high-speed steel price and gross margin increasing by 0.9% and 1.5 percentage points to 54,090 yuan and 15.6% respectively; tool steel price and gross margin increased by 3.0% and 0.5 percentage points to 17,039 yuan and 13.8% respectively [2] Group 2 - The company is accelerating its high-end transformation strategy, expected to yield results by 2026, particularly in titanium alloy business, which is projected to significantly increase profit contributions [3] - The company has enhanced its melting technology for titanium alloys and is capable of producing various grades, with expectations of increased profitability driven by recovering demand in consumer electronics [3] - Powder metallurgy products are anticipated to continue ramping up, with the company being a leading domestic supplier with a manufacturing capacity of 8,000-10,000 tons of alloy powder, exploring new applications in various industries [3]
中金：维持天工国际跑赢行业评级 上调目标价至3.01港元