达利欧：特朗普正带领美国滑向1930年代，整个华尔街却因恐惧陷入沉默

Group 1 - Ray Dalio compares the current political and social climate in the U.S. to the global situation of the 1930s and 1940s, highlighting issues such as wealth disparity and a collapse of trust driving extreme policies [1][2] - Dalio emphasizes that Wall Street investors are largely silent about Trump's policies due to fear of retaliation, despite growing private concerns [2][3] - The intervention of the Trump administration in the private sector, particularly the acquisition of a 10% stake in Intel, is seen as a manifestation of "strong authoritarian leadership" [1][2] Group 2 - Concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve are raised, particularly following Trump's dismissal of a Fed official, which could undermine confidence in the Fed's ability to maintain currency value [3][4] - International investors are reportedly shifting from U.S. Treasury bonds to gold, reflecting worries about the stability of the dollar system [3][4] - Dalio predicts a debt crisis in the U.S. within approximately three years, driven by a significant fiscal imbalance where annual spending is around $7 trillion against $5 trillion in revenue [4]