Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-02 06:55Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi indicates an accelerated trend of original research drugs moving from "in-hospital" to "out-of-hospital" markets, leading to an upward revision of Alibaba Health's (00241) adjusted net profit forecasts for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 8% and 12% respectively, reflecting a more optimistic outlook on drug sales [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Alibaba Health has raised its revenue growth guidance for fiscal year 2026 to 10% to 20%, up from the previous range of 5% to 10% [1] - The adjusted net profit growth guidance has also been increased to 20% to 30%, compared to the earlier forecast of 10% to 20% [1] - The strong sales performance of original and innovative drugs, particularly GLP-1 medications, has contributed to these positive adjustments [1] Group 2: Market Trends - The robust sales data from Alibaba Health and JD Health (06618) confirms the accelerating and sustainable trend of prescription drug outflow [1] - As original and innovative pharmaceutical companies expand new sales channels, online platforms like Alibaba Health and JD Health emerge as the biggest beneficiaries [1] Group 3: Target Price Adjustment - The target price for Alibaba Health has been raised from HKD 4.8 to HKD 6.5, while maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]