Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the bullish sentiment surrounding gold prices, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and geopolitical uncertainties in Europe [1][2]. - As of August 29, the largest gold ETF's holdings reached 977.68 tons, an increase of 9.74 tons from the previous trading day, with a cumulative net increase of 24.6 tons for the month [1]. - The market anticipates a nearly 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming meeting, with some analysts suggesting a potential aggressive cut of 50 basis points [1]. Group 2 - The recent ruling by a U.S. appeals court declaring the Trump-era tariff policy illegal has raised concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, further pressuring the dollar and benefiting gold [1]. - The upcoming U.S. employment report is crucial, with expectations of a 75,000 increase in non-farm payrolls and a potential rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% [1]. - Gold prices closed at $3,476.28 per ounce, marking the highest level since April 22, with trading ranges between $3,437.01 and $3,489.95 [2]. Group 3 - Technical analysis indicates a stair-step upward movement in gold prices, with strong buying pressure and no short signals appearing recently [4]. - Key support levels to watch are $3,450 and $3,438 per ounce, with potential for a pullback if prices decline [4]. - The next significant resistance level is around $3,530 per ounce, contingent on the upcoming non-farm payroll data [4].
香港第一金：现货黄金突破3500美元历史新高 黄金多空分析策略
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-02 07:45