需求端持续低迷 沪锡区间震荡【9月2日SHFE市场收盘评论】

Core Viewpoint - The tin market is experiencing limited movement with the main contract rising by 0.08% to 273,980 yuan/ton, influenced by a combination of declining domestic production and weak consumer demand [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Major smelting enterprises have initiated routine maintenance, leading to a noticeable decline in domestic production, while consumer demand remains weak [1] - Domestic tin inventory is high, while overseas inventory is at historical lows, creating a mixed market sentiment with limited driving forces [1] - The supply of tin ore remains tight, with delays in actual output from Myanmar expected until the fourth quarter due to seasonal and equipment supply issues [1] Group 2: Production and Supply - Domestic smelting plants are operating at low capacity, particularly in Yunnan, where raw material shortages persist [1] - Some previously shut-down enterprises are preparing to resume production, but another leading company is undergoing maintenance, suggesting an overall decline in production [1] Group 3: Pricing and Demand - Recent fluctuations in tin prices have seen a slight decline, with smelting plants showing a willingness to sell, but actual transactions remain limited [1] - Traders are actively quoting prices, noting that while tin prices have slightly decreased, they remain high, and downstream purchasing interest is weak [1] - Downstream orders continue to decline, with current consumption levels in the off-season, particularly in home appliances and photovoltaic sectors [1][2]