Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the retail market in Hong Kong may require time to stabilize, leading to a slight downward adjustment in the revenue and distribution forecasts for Prosperity REIT (00778) for 2025 and 2026 [1] - The improvement in stock and real estate performance is expected to create a wealth effect, which may help stabilize the market in the medium to long term, with a projected annual growth of approximately 2% to 3% in distributions for 2026 and 2027 [1] - The potential inclusion in the Stock Connect program is identified as a key catalyst for the next 12 months, with the impact of interest rate cuts expected to outweigh the anticipated changes in rental adjustments [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that Prosperity REIT's retail portfolio, primarily focused on essential consumption, remains resilient and is expected to maintain a high occupancy rate [1] - Recent fluctuations in HIBOR have led to a decline in stock prices, but a forecasted interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September or by the end of the year is anticipated to support a recovery in the company's stock price [1] - The target price for Prosperity REIT has been slightly raised to HKD 5.92, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]
交银国际：升置富产业信托(00778)目标价至5.92港元 料组合维持平稳、降息有助提升估值