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李志林:重大活动前游资惯性出货,国家队护盘3830点有支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-02 09:02

Market Overview - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in September is 10.4%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 89.6% [2] - A-share financing balance reached a historical high of 2.28 trillion, with a financing buy amount of 323 billion, accounting for 11.63% of A-share transaction volume [2] - The financial sector saw significant movements, with stocks like Pacific Securities hitting the daily limit [2] Solid-State Battery Sector - The solid-state battery concept has shown strong performance, with companies like Dexin Technology achieving three consecutive daily limits [3] - Recent capital operations in the solid-state battery sector include Huayu Automotive's acquisition of a 49% stake in Shanghai SAIC Qingtao Energy Technology for 206 million [3] Market Dynamics - The central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 150.1 billion through reverse repos, with the market opening at 3,877 points and fluctuating between 3,828 and 3,885 points [4] - The market has seen a significant increase in trading volume, with a half-day turnover of 1.91 trillion, up 80.5 billion from the previous trading day [4] Support Levels - The 3,830-point level is identified as a strong support, attracting buying interest [5] - If the market can maintain levels between 3,830 and 3,850 points, stability is expected for the following day [5] Technical Indicators - The 20-day moving average is at 3,753 points, indicating a narrowing distance to the index [7] - A sustained test of the 3,830-point support over three days could lead to a gradual upward trend in the market [7]