Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices continued to show strength, approaching the psychological level of $3500, marking a historical high due to increased expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, with a probability of 89% according to CME FedWatch [1] - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve following the dismissal of board member Lisa Cook, along with uncertainties in U.S. tariff policies and escalating geopolitical tensions, have bolstered safe-haven buying in gold [1] - The overall trend for gold remains bullish, although short-term consolidation may occur, with key data releases such as the ISM manufacturing PMI and non-farm payrolls to influence future price direction [1] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold has broken through historical highs, but a potential adjustment may be on the horizon; however, the overall trend remains bullish [2] - Key resistance levels are identified at $3510, with a target range of $3530 to $3550 if the price breaks above [2] - Support levels to watch include $3465; as long as gold remains above this level, the bullish trend is intact [2][4] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - International oil prices rebounded, with Brent crude rising to $68.35 and WTI to $64.82, influenced by supply concerns due to the ongoing Ukraine conflict, which has reportedly led to a loss of approximately 1.1 million barrels per day in Russian refining capacity [5] - The market is currently characterized by a balance of supply concerns and trade friction pressures, with the outcome of OPEC+ meetings expected to provide further direction [5][6] - Short-term trading strategies suggest focusing on buying on dips while monitoring resistance at $67.0-$68.0 and support at $64.5-$63.5 [6]
贺博生：9.2黄金冲高遇阻回落原油强势上涨晚间行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-02 10:02