Ultima Markets金价预测：黄金/美元突破3500美元，创下新高；接下来会怎样？

Core Viewpoint - Gold continues its bullish momentum, reaching a new historical high above $3500, supported by Federal Reserve rate cut bets and geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine [1][2][3] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold prices have extended their upward trend for six consecutive days, surpassing $3500 [1] - The rebound of the US dollar from a one-month low has temporarily limited further gains in gold [1][3] - Market focus is shifting towards the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for further trading guidance [2][3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The market anticipates a potential increase in the ISM Manufacturing PMI from 48 in July to 49 in August, although it remains in contraction territory [3] - A disappointing ISM data release could lead to renewed selling pressure on the dollar, potentially supporting gold's record rise [3] Group 3: Geopolitical Factors - Ongoing geopolitical developments between Russia and Ukraine continue to bolster gold as a safe-haven asset [3] - Ukrainian President Zelensky's announcement of plans for deeper strikes into Russia after recent attacks on Russian energy assets has drawn attention [3] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The daily chart indicates that gold is targeting further increases, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) close to 71, not yet severely overbought [6] - The bullish crossover of the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) with the 50-day SMA supports gold's strong performance [6] - The new record high of $3509 sets the stage for a challenge at the psychological level of $3550, while any pullback would first test the intraday low of $3475 [6]