A股两融余额站上新高，增量资金踊跃进场

Core Insights - A-share market shows strong activity with financing balance reaching a historical high of 2.28 trillion yuan on September 1, surpassing the previous record of 2.27 trillion yuan set in June 2015 [1][2] - The total number of A-share investors has exceeded 240 million, with 12.6 million new accounts opened in the first half of 2025, reflecting a 32.77% year-on-year increase [1][2] - The increase in financing balance is attributed to several factors, including regulatory support, rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and positive developments in the domestic AI industry [3] Financing Balance and Market Activity - The financing balance has remained above 2 trillion yuan for 20 consecutive trading days since August 5, indicating strong market enthusiasm [2] - The ratio of financing balance to circulating market value is currently at 2.40%, significantly lower than the historical peak of 4.72%, suggesting a stable leverage level [4] - The financing buy-in ratio to A-share trading volume stands at 11.63%, also within historical norms, indicating no excessive leverage risk [4] Investor Participation and Market Trends - The average maintenance guarantee ratio is at 289.89%, indicating a safe level of leverage for investors [5] - Major stocks have seen significant financing buy-ins, with eight stocks exceeding 2 billion yuan in financing since August 22 [5] - Analysts predict a continued upward trend in the market, driven by accumulated profit effects and ongoing inflows of new capital [5][6] Policy and Economic Environment - The market is expected to experience less volatility compared to 2015, supported by improved capital market positioning and ongoing policy initiatives [6] - The combination of liquidity influx and policy measures is anticipated to enhance the supply-demand balance, leading to a gradual transition to an earnings-driven market phase [6]