“反内卷”热度再起，多晶硅期价强势上涨

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the polysilicon market is experiencing a rebound in prices due to a shift in expectations regarding supply and demand dynamics, particularly influenced by the "anti-involution" sentiment and potential policy changes [1][2][3] - As of September 2, the main contract for polysilicon futures closed at 51,875 yuan/ton, reflecting a 3.97% increase, driven by rising spot market prices and positive market sentiment [1] - Analysts suggest that the current supply-demand imbalance remains a core issue, with polysilicon production expected to increase to 120,000-130,000 tons in August, but inventory pressures are beginning to emerge [2] Group 2 - The current social inventory of polysilicon is estimated to be around 440,000-450,000 tons, with a shift from visible to hidden inventory as downstream companies engage in strategic stocking [2] - Market expectations for production cuts and policy adjustments are anticipated to influence future price movements, with analysts predicting that prices may remain high but could also face downward pressure if policy implementation is slow or weak [2][3] - The market is currently in a phase of "weak reality" versus "strong expectations," with a focus on the actual progress of debt-acquisition policies and the implementation of production control measures [3]