百利好早盘分析：独立性遭挑战 黄金气势如虹

Group 1: Gold Market - Trump's dismissal of Fed Governor Cook raises concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve, potentially undermining public trust in the institution [2] - The ISM Manufacturing PMI for August recorded at 48.7, below the expected 49, indicating a continued contraction in the manufacturing sector for six consecutive months [2] - Concerns over the Fed's independence are benefiting gold prices, which have seen a strong upward trend, surpassing $3,500 [2] Group 2: Oil Market - Bridgewater founder Dalio warns of an impending debt crisis in the U.S. due to excessive spending, with total U.S. debt reaching $37.3 trillion and interest payments exceeding $1 trillion [4] - The price of Russian Urals crude oil is $3-4 cheaper than Brent, making it more attractive for India despite a temporary reduction in imports [4] - Oil prices have been fluctuating between $62 and $65 since mid-August, with a recent short-term breakout above $65 [5] Group 3: Copper Market - Copper prices experienced a significant drop at the end of July but have since stabilized between $4.32 and $4.50, recently breaking above the $4.50 resistance level [7] Group 4: Nikkei 225 - The Nikkei 225 index is showing a weak downward trend, with strong support around the 41,800 level; a breakout above 42,400 could signal a return to an upward trend [8]