9.3 A股反攻！

Core Viewpoint - The recent sharp decline in the A-share market, particularly the 2.85% drop in the ChiNext Index, is not indicative of the end of a bull market but rather a typical shakeout behavior during an upward trend, suggesting a potential for short-term rebound [1][4]. Market Adjustment Factors - The market adjustment on September 2 was influenced by multiple factors, including technical pressure from accumulated profit-taking after a prolonged upward trend since April [3]. - There was a significant rotation of funds from high-valuation growth sectors, particularly in technology, to undervalued defensive sectors such as banking and utilities, amplifying market volatility [3]. - The negative sentiment from the substantial decline in U.S. tech stocks and the market's cautious stance ahead of the Federal Reserve's September meeting contributed to the adjustment [3]. Long-term Market Support - Despite the recent downturn, the core logic supporting a medium to long-term positive outlook for the market remains intact, driven by ongoing policies in sectors like "Artificial Intelligence+" and measures aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting consumption [5]. - The rapid decline is seen as a quick release of risks, effectively digesting profit-taking and eliminating localized bubbles, which can accumulate strength for future upward movement [5]. Short-term Market Outlook - In the short term, there is potential for a technical rebound following the recent sharp decline, supported by ample policy tools for growth stabilization and expectations of possible interest rate cuts [7]. - The anticipated easing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and a weaker dollar may enhance the attractiveness of RMB assets, potentially leading to a continued inflow of northbound capital [7]. - The significant trading volume of 2.87 trillion yuan during the decline indicates a release of short-term selling pressure, with stabilization in key sectors providing support for the market [7]. - The emotional release from the sharp drop may lead to a stabilization of market sentiment, allowing for a recovery of quality stocks that were oversold [7].