Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-03 07:48Group 1 - The ISM Manufacturing PMI in the US rose from 48.0 in July to 48.7 in August, but still below the market expectation of 49.0, marking the sixth consecutive month of contraction [1] - The New Orders Index increased from 47.1 to 51.4, while the Production Orders Index significantly dropped from 51.4 to 47.8 [1] - US construction spending in July decreased by 0.1% month-over-month, marking the third consecutive month of decline, which has raised expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [2] Group 2 - Investors are awaiting the upcoming US employment report, which may further influence the Federal Reserve's rate cut decisions [4] - A recent court ruling stated that former President Trump lacked the authority to implement most of his tariff policies, potentially affecting nearly 70% of US imports if upheld [4] - If the ruling stands, only 16% of imports would incur tariffs, leading to lower than expected federal revenue and potentially widening the fiscal deficit [4] Group 3 - The US yield curve has steepened, with short-term rates reflecting rate cut expectations while long-term rates have risen due to concerns over increasing fiscal deficits [6] - Major US stock indices declined, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.55%, the Nasdaq down 0.82%, and the S&P 500 down 0.69%, while Nvidia and Tesla saw declines of 1.95% and 1.35% respectively [6] - Chinese stocks performed well, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 0.52%, driven by significant gains in companies like Baozun and NIO [6] Group 4 - Concerns over fiscal deficits in Europe have increased, with criticism of France's proposed budget freeze and Germany's infrastructure investment plans [7] - Eurozone inflation in August was reported at 2.1%, slightly above market expectations, reinforcing the view that the European Central Bank will maintain interest rates in its upcoming meeting [7] - The US dollar index has risen above 98.45, supported by a weaker euro and yen amid global economic concerns [7] Group 5 - Gold prices have risen due to strong demand from ETFs and central banks, although adjustments occurred following a rebound in the US dollar index [9] - The US stock market stabilized, with Google winning a significant antitrust case, allowing it to retain its Chrome browser business without divestiture [11] - Following the ruling, stocks of Google and Apple saw significant after-hours gains of 6.76% and 3.08% respectively, leading to a rebound in US stock futures [12]