研报掘金丨东方证券:维持中航重机“买入”评级,予目标价20.8元

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates that AVIC Heavy Machinery experienced a decline in net profit for H1 2025, attributed to product delivery schedules and structural adjustments, but shows potential for recovery due to stable growth in various business segments [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 492 million yuan, representing a decrease of 32.59% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 294 million yuan, down 27.50% compared to the previous year [1] Business Development - The company maintains stable growth in commercial aviation, non-aviation civilian products, and "big national defense" sectors [1] - The company focused on both existing and new markets, expanding its domestic and international user base [1] - The development of new products reached 4,002 items, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.07% [1] - New signed orders increased by 9.39% year-on-year [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company is diversifying its business, with civil aviation and civil engineering entering a rapid development phase [1] - As defense product deliveries accelerate, the production capacity of large forging equipment is gradually being released, indicating potential for performance recovery [1] - The "Research Institute + Enterprise" operational model is being strengthened, enhancing the core competitiveness in technological innovation [1] Market Position - The company is recognized as a leader in aviation forging, entering a new phase of military-civilian collaborative development [1] - Based on comparable companies, a target price of 20.80 yuan is set, maintaining a "buy" rating with a reference PE of 32 times for 2025 [1]