MENGNIU DAIRY(HK:02319) Zheng Quan Ri Bao·2025-09-03 08:41Core Viewpoint - The sale of the A2 Milk Company's New Zealand factory by Mengniu is a strategic response to the overcapacity in the infant formula market in Australia and New Zealand, as well as the changing market structure in China, reflecting the industry's ongoing resource optimization and profitability enhancement efforts [1][2]. Industry Overview - The infant formula industry in Australia and New Zealand is facing significant overcapacity due to declining birth rates in China and the rise of domestic milk powder brands, leading to reduced demand for imported milk powder [1]. - Many companies in the region are experiencing low capacity utilization and prolonged losses, prompting strategic adjustments [1]. Company Actions - Mengniu's sale of the New Zealand factory is seen as a proactive "burden reduction" measure, allowing the company to divest a consistently loss-making asset and recover approximately NZD 282 million in cash [2]. - Post-transaction, Mengniu retains full control over the Asian operations of Aiyashili, including the Chinese and Southeast Asian markets, which may enhance growth potential due to more concentrated resources [2]. Market Performance - Mengniu's infant formula business is reportedly recovering, with double-digit sales growth for its subsidiary Ruibaoen in the first half of the year, and Bellamy's sales increasing by over 20% [2]. - The high-end product line "Bellamy Platinum Organic A2" has seen its growth rate double, and Mengniu's ice cream brand Aiyue has established a strong local operation in Indonesia, achieving a market share of 34% and annual revenue exceeding 2 billion yuan [2]. Strategic Focus - The sale of the New Zealand factory is viewed as a strategic "reallocation" of assets, allowing Mengniu to optimize its resources towards higher-return markets and businesses [3]. - The company plans to continue its international strategy, expanding into Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa to enhance international resource allocation efficiency [3].