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越盾贬值与高估值影响,越南股市迎来史上最大外资抛售潮
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-09-03 08:47

Group 1 - The core issue is the unprecedented capital outflow from the Vietnamese stock market, with foreign investors selling local stocks worth $1.5 billion in August, marking the largest monthly outflow since records began in 2009 [1][4] - Concerns over unfavorable exchange rate prospects and profit-taking from previous market gains are driving the capital outflow [3][4] - The Vietnamese dong has depreciated approximately 3.4% against the US dollar this year, making it the worst-performing currency in Southeast Asia, with further depreciation expected due to rising import demand and a narrowing current account surplus [4][7] Group 2 - Despite the significant foreign capital withdrawal, the Vietnamese stock market is supported by resilient domestic capital flows and improving corporate earnings, which may help cushion the impact of foreign outflows [7] - The VN index has surged over 32% this year, outperforming most Southeast Asian markets, but this rebound has also led to higher market valuations, prompting foreign investors to lock in profits [7] - Notably, a substantial portion of the capital outflow is concentrated in key stocks, such as Vingroup, which saw a net outflow of approximately 49.3 million USD [4]