美国为什么发动贸易战？因为它知道，如果再给中国三五年时间，美国连挣扎一下的机会都没有了

Group 1 - The trade deficit between the US and China increased from $80 billion in 2001 to $375 billion in 2017, raising questions about the logic of blaming China for the deficit when the US restricts high-tech exports to China and has limited agricultural and energy exports [2] - The US initiated the 301 investigation in 2017, citing serious intellectual property issues with China, but the report lacked concrete evidence, marking the beginning of the trade war [4] - By 2019, the US raised tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods to 25%, leading to significant subsidies for American farmers amounting to $28 billion due to the adverse effects of the tariffs [4] Group 2 - Despite expectations of a policy shift under the Biden administration, the US extended tariffs on Chinese goods into 2022 and planned to impose additional taxes on electric vehicles and batteries, exacerbating inflation and increasing vehicle prices [6] - The average tariff on Chinese goods reached 57.6%, while China's tariffs on US goods stood at 32.6% as of August 2025, reflecting ongoing tensions and fears of China's rapid economic ascent [6] - From 2018 to 2022, American consumers spent approximately $1.25 trillion more due to increased import costs from tariffs, indicating a negative impact on US consumers [8] Group 3 - China's GDP growth remains around 5%, with exports reaching $3.38 trillion in 2023, maintaining its position as the world's largest exporter despite US tariffs [9] - The US's attempts to restrict China's manufacturing capabilities, particularly in semiconductors, have led to increased subsidies for American companies, with the CHIPS Act allocating $52 billion for semiconductor production [9][11] - The ongoing trade war has resulted in a cycle of increased costs for US companies, retaliatory measures from China, and rising fiscal deficits for the US, projected to exceed $1.7 trillion by 2024 [11][13]