Ge Long Hui·2025-09-03 18:47Core Viewpoint - Alibaba reported its FY26Q1 results, showing a slight revenue growth but a decline in adjusted net profit, while also highlighting significant investments in instant retail and cloud services [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - FY26Q1 revenue reached 247.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.82% [1] - Adjusted EBITA was 45.735 billion yuan, down 10.61% year-on-year [1] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 33.51 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.65% year-on-year [1] - The company repurchased 56 million shares for a total price of 815 million USD, with an authorized buyback amount remaining at 19.3 billion USD [1] Instant Retail and E-commerce Synergy - Alibaba increased its investment in instant retail starting FY26Q1, achieving a peak daily order volume of 120 million and an average of 80 million orders on Sundays in August [2] - The monthly active buyers for instant retail reached 300 million, a 200% increase compared to before April [2] - Instant retail significantly boosted the overall user scale and activity on Taobao, with a 20% increase in daily active users (DAU) in August [2] - Taobao's DAU was 374 million in May, showing a slight decline year-on-year, but increased by 17% in July compared to the previous year [2] - CMR revenue grew by 10% year-on-year to 89.252 billion yuan, supported by increased user activity and reduced marketing costs [2] Future Outlook - With ongoing improvements in logistics efficiency for instant retail, losses in user experience (UE) are expected to halve while maintaining current consumer incentives [3] - Alibaba is developing a new AI chip to fill the market gap left by Nvidia in China, currently in the testing phase [3] - The cloud business achieved revenue of 33.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 25.80%, with an EBITA margin of 8.8% [3] - Capital expenditures (CAPEX) reached 38.676 billion yuan, exceeding market expectations, with a planned investment of 380 billion yuan over the next three years [3] Investment Recommendations - Projected revenues for FY2026-FY2028 are 1.06 trillion, 1.18 trillion, and 1.30 trillion yuan, with adjusted net profits of 135.6 billion, 169.9 billion, and 198.3 billion yuan respectively [4] - The company is positioned uniquely among domestic peers with comprehensive capabilities in chips, cloud computing, large models, and applications, benefiting from the commercialization of AI applications [4]