帮主郑重盘前策略：3800点失守？别慌！这些信号告诉你机会正在靠近

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant event with the Shanghai Composite Index briefly falling below 3,800 points but ultimately closing at 3,813 points, forming a critical "long lower shadow" [1] - The total trading volume in the two markets decreased to 2.39 trillion, indicating two important signals: a substantial clearing of panic selling and that major funds are organizing defense at key levels [1] Technical Analysis - From a technical perspective, although the MACD green bars are still expanding and KDJ shows a downward trend, the area below 3,800 points, especially around 3,760 points, is a strong support zone from the V-shaped reversal at the end of August, making further declines unlikely [3] - It is suggested that panic selling at this level could result in selling at a local low [3] Policy Environment - Positive signals are emerging from the policy front, with the Ministry of Finance and the central bank emphasizing "deepening fiscal and monetary coordination," which sends a clear message of stabilizing the market [3] - Additionally, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September has risen to nearly 90%, indicating an improvement in the external liquidity environment [3] Sector Focus - Two main directions are recommended for focus: 1. The Huawei supply chain, with an upcoming foldable screen launch expected to boost sentiment in the consumer electronics sector, particularly for core suppliers in flexible screens and optical modules [3] 2. The technology growth sector, including photovoltaic and photonic chips, which saw capital inflows despite market downturns, driven by "AI+" and technology self-sufficiency policies, presenting medium to long-term investment value [3] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised against panic selling at current levels, especially in heavyweight sectors like securities and semiconductors, which are showing signs of capital inflow [3] - It is recommended to gradually accumulate undervalued, high-growth technology leaders, particularly those with historically low price-to-earnings ratios [3] - A total position should be controlled at around 50%, maintaining some cash reserves, and considering timely increases in positions if trading volume significantly increases in the first half hour of trading [3]