黄金、原油、汇率齐波动！全球资产价格陷入疯狂模式

Group 1: Asset Price Volatility - Gold prices surged, reaching a historical high of over $3500 per ounce, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts [3][5] - Brent and WTI crude oil prices experienced significant fluctuations due to Middle Eastern conflicts and anticipated demand recovery from China, although global economic uncertainties limited price increases [3][5] - The US dollar index remained above 98, with increased volatility in currencies like the euro and yen, influenced by conflicting expectations regarding Federal Reserve rate cuts and US economic data [4][6] Group 2: Driving Factors - Geopolitical risks, particularly in the Middle East, have raised concerns about oil supply disruptions, contributing to higher gold and oil prices [5] - Economic policies, including China's "moderate easing" monetary policy, have bolstered oil demand expectations, while rising expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts have supported gold prices [6] - Market sentiment has shifted towards safe-haven assets like gold amid global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainties, leading to a sell-off in riskier assets such as tech stocks [7] Group 3: Market Outlook - Gold is expected to experience short-term volatility but has a long-term bullish outlook, with potential price targets of $3780 to $4000 if it breaks above $3540 per ounce [8] - Oil prices may rise further if Chinese demand continues to improve and Middle Eastern tensions stabilize, but a global economic slowdown could lead to price corrections [8] - The US dollar's strength may persist in the short term due to safe-haven demand, but potential Federal Reserve rate cuts could weaken its long-term position, with other currencies' performance dependent on their respective economies [9]