3 6 Ke·2025-09-04 03:05Core Viewpoint - The Chinese energy storage industry is experiencing significant price declines and overcapacity due to rapid technological advancements and intense competition, leading to calls for regulatory intervention to restore fair competition and manage excess capacity [1][2][3][4][10]. Industry Growth and Competition - The domestic new energy storage project installed capacity has increased twentyfold over the past four years, with over 200,000 new storage-related companies established [2][3]. - By the end of 2023, the cumulative installed capacity of new energy storage projects reached 31.39 GW, exceeding initial targets by two years [3]. - The average bidding price for lithium battery storage systems has dropped to 0.49 yuan/Wh in the first half of 2025, a decline of over 70% from peak levels [1][4]. Overcapacity and Price Wars - The energy storage cell production capacity is projected to reach 750 GWh in 2024, while actual shipments are expected to be only 314.7 GWh, resulting in a utilization rate of less than 50% [4]. - The average bidding price for energy storage systems in 2024 is forecasted to be 0.628 yuan/Wh, a year-on-year decrease of 43% [4]. - Some bidding projects have seen prices fall below cost, with instances of "suicidal bidding" reported [5][6]. Market Dynamics and Company Performance - Leading companies like CATL maintain a significant market share, with a 41% share in 2024, while smaller firms struggle with low margins and profitability [5][6]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by a continuous reshuffling, with many smaller players exiting the market due to unsustainable pricing pressures [7][8]. Regulatory Responses and Industry Initiatives - A recent initiative involving 149 companies aims to promote fair competition and curb irrational low-price behaviors in the energy storage sector [9][10]. - The Chinese government has introduced new laws and policies to address low-price competition and encourage the exit of excess capacity [13][15]. Future Trends and Strategies - The industry is expected to see increased mergers and acquisitions as companies seek to consolidate resources and reduce competition [17]. - Establishing industry alliances may help mitigate price wars and promote collaborative growth in international markets [18].