Core Viewpoint - The company's 1H25 performance aligns with expectations, showing a mixed trend in product sales and profitability, with a focus on high-end product development and future growth potential in titanium alloy and powder metallurgy sectors [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Revenue for 1H25 was 2.343 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 204 million yuan, an increase of 6.8%, meeting expectations [1] - Product sales showed slight declines: high-speed steel, mold steel, and cutting tools saw decreases of 10.4%, 5.2%, and 20.4% respectively, while titanium alloy sales increased by 65.2% [1] - The gross margin for high-speed steel and mold steel improved due to rising raw material prices, with high-speed steel's price and margin increasing by 0.9% and 1.5 percentage points to 54,090 yuan and 15.6% respectively [1] Product Trends - Titanium alloy prices and gross margins decreased by 45.1% and 14.8 percentage points to 76,716 yuan and 24.2% respectively, attributed to adjustments in 3C product order structures [2] - The company is advancing its high-end transformation strategy, expecting significant profit contributions from titanium alloy business post-2024, with enhanced melting technology and increased competitiveness [2] - Powder metallurgy products are anticipated to see continued growth, with the company being a leading supplier in this sector, leveraging its manufacturing capabilities and exploring new applications [2] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to uncertainties in export business for 2H25, the company's 2025 net profit forecast has been reduced by 24.3% to 366 million yuan, while a new forecast for 2026 is introduced at 538 million yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to 17.0x and 11.4x P/E for 2025 and 2026 estimates respectively, with a target price increase of 20% to 3.01 yuan, implying a 20.8% upside potential [3]
天工国际(00826.HK)：高端化战略有望进入收获期 内生成长可期