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农夫山泉(9633.HK):走出阴霾 龙头归来
Ge Long Hui·2025-09-04 03:25

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a revenue of 25.62 billion yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.62 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 includes packaging water at 9.44 billion yuan, tea beverages at 10.09 billion yuan, functional drinks at 2.90 billion yuan, juice at 2.56 billion yuan, and others at 630 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of +10.7%, +19.7%, +13.6%, +21.3%, and +14.8% [1] - The gross profit margin increased by 1.5 percentage points to 60.3% due to a decline in raw material prices such as PET and sugar, along with expected positive contributions from product structure optimization [1] - The net profit margin reached 29.7%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year, marking a new high for the company [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The company anticipates continued growth in packaging water market share due to a declining base and evolving competitive landscape [2] - The "One Yuan Enjoy" program is expected to enhance the sales momentum of the "Dongfang Shuye" brand, leading to accelerated revenue growth [2] - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.5 billion yuan, 16.6 billion yuan, and 18.6 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.29 yuan, 1.47 yuan, and 1.65 yuan, and PE ratios of 35X, 31X, and 27X [2]