金价再创新高，COMEX黄金涨破3600美元，黄金ETF基金(159937)近1周日均成交放量超7亿元，备受资金关注

Core Insights - The gold ETF fund (159937) has seen a 0.04% increase, marking its sixth consecutive rise, with the latest price at 7.76 yuan [2] - Over the past week, the gold ETF fund has accumulated a 4.26% increase [2] - The liquidity of the gold ETF fund shows a turnover of 0.71% with a transaction volume of 207 million yuan, and an average daily transaction of 707 million yuan over the past week, ranking it among the top three comparable funds [2] - COMEX gold futures rose by 0.82% to $3621.80 per ounce, reaching a record high of $3640.10 during the session [2] - A U.S. government report indicated a larger-than-expected decline in job vacancies for July, suggesting a cooling labor market [2] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve during the policy meeting on September 16-17 surged to 98% according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool [2] Market Analysis - According to CITIC Securities, gold has been in a volatile market since late April, influenced by tariff impacts, U.S. fiscal policies, geopolitical factors, and central bank gold purchases, creating a complex balance of bullish and bearish forces [2] - Changes in these factors may initiate an upward trend for gold prices, with expectations of tariff improvements potentially stabilizing, while the impact of stagflation may just be beginning to manifest [2] - The likelihood of a significant decrease in geopolitical risks within the year remains low, and the Federal Reserve may initiate an early rate cut [2] - The trend of global central banks purchasing gold is expected to remain stable [2]