宋城演艺(300144)：项目扩容迭代 优化营销体验

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, primarily due to reduced income from light asset output and increased advertising expenses, but anticipates stabilization and improvement in operations through project expansions and a robust performance in core locations [1][2][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved revenue of 1.08 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 8.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 400 million, down 27.4% year-on-year [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 519 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 16.06%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 153 million, down 48.66% year-on-year [1]. - The company's gross profit margin was 65.7%, with a net profit margin of 37.0%, indicating a decrease of 9.7 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Group 2: Project Performance - The revenue from live performances across nine major ancient cultural theme parks totaled 848 million in 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% [2]. - Specific project performances varied, with the Hangzhou project stable, while Shanghai, Guilin, and Xi'an projects showed significant growth of 40%, 11%, and 9% respectively [2]. - Older projects like Sanya, Lijiang, and Zhangjiajie faced operational pressure, with revenue declines of 16%, 13%, and 51% respectively, attributed to intensified competition and changes in tourism consumption habits [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is actively expanding and renovating older projects to stabilize operations, with core projects in Hangzhou and Shanghai performing well [1]. - The light asset business is expected to accelerate, potentially becoming a new growth driver for the company [1]. - The company signed a contract for the Silk Road Ancient Culture project, expected to open in July 2026, which could generate service fees of approximately 260 million [3]. Group 4: Valuation and Rating - The target price is set at 10.25 yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating, reflecting a 25 times price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised down by 7%, 8%, and 5% to 0.41, 0.47, and 0.52 yuan respectively [4]. - The company’s ability to replicate its scenic area and performance model is considered strong, with new projects expected to catalyze growth despite short-term pressures from existing project renovations [4].