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诺瓦星云(301589.SZ)中报点评:Q2环比显著改善 技术布局夯实复苏基础

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.533 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 1.93%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 294 million yuan, down 9.33% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 912 million yuan, an increase of 3.41% year-on-year, with a net profit of 192 million yuan, down 4.95% [1] - The operating cash flow showed significant improvement, with a net cash flow of 155 million yuan in H1 2025, up 327.91% [1] Revenue Breakdown - The revenue from LED display control systems in H1 2025 was 639 million yuan, down 15.51%, while video processing systems generated 645 million yuan, up 5.51% [1] - The cloud-based information publishing and management system generated 99 million yuan, an increase of 13.29% [1] - Domestic market revenue was 1.182 billion yuan, down 7.20%, while overseas market revenue reached 351 million yuan, up 21.31% [1] Market Trends - The small-pitch LED display market in mainland China saw a sales decline of 16% in H1 2025, with a projected annual market size of 12.8 billion yuan, down 10.5% [2] - The shipment area for small-pitch LED displays slightly increased by 4.5% to 550,000 square meters [2] - The company anticipates continued operational improvement in the second half of 2025 [2] Profitability and R&D - The gross margin for LED display control systems was 49.11%, up 2.65 percentage points year-on-year, while video processing systems had a gross margin of 69.54%, up 2.33 percentage points [2][3] - The gross margin for cloud-based information systems was 59.82%, an increase of 2.07 percentage points [2] - R&D investment reached 249 million yuan, accounting for 16.24% of revenue, reflecting an increase in R&D spending [3] Technological Advancements - The company has made significant advancements in MLED technology, launching core detection equipment and integrated circuits, leading to rapid revenue growth in this area [4] - The introduction of the VX series video control server supports 4K and 8K ultra-high-definition displays, with ongoing research into 16K technology [4] - The company has developed specialized control chips and high-speed interface chips to enhance LED display quality, supporting the demand for high-quality and ultra-thin MLED displays [4] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.552 billion yuan, 4.052 billion yuan, and 4.631 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.31%, 14.06%, and 14.30% respectively [5] - Net profit is expected to reach 666 million yuan, 817 million yuan, and 982 million yuan over the same period, with growth rates of 12.32%, 22.58%, and 20.24% respectively [5]